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PepsiCo Inc. (PEP) Stock

PepsiCo Inc. Stock Details, Movements and Public Alerts

PepsiCo (PEP): Ramon Laguarta's Zero Sugar Revolution Powers Pricing Through $91 Billion Snack Empire

PepsiCo stands as a masterclass in portfolio transformation as CEO Ramon Laguarta engineers the company's evolution from sugar-laden sodas to a diversified nutrition powerhouse. With the zero sugar beverage portfolio growing 20% annually, Frito-Lay commanding 40% of the U.S. snack market, and international revenues approaching 40% of total sales, PepsiCo demonstrates how 125-year-old companies can reinvent themselves while maintaining pricing power. The company's ability to push through 10% price increases while holding market share proves that brand strength and distribution dominance create moats even inflation cannot breach.

  • Portfolio Strength:23 billion-dollar brands across beverages and snacks
  • Pricing Power:10% price increases with minimal volume impact
  • Zero Sugar Growth:20% annual growth in better-for-you portfolio
  • Market Leadership:40% U.S. savory snack share through Frito-Lay
  • Global Expansion:International revenues approaching 40% of total

Market Cap

$179.67B

52-Week High

$174.55

-17.82% from high

52-Week Low

$126.36

+13.52% from low

Avg Daily Volume

6,596,217

Fundamentals

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio (TTM)

19.27

Near market average

Forward P/E

16.56

Earnings expected to grow

PEG Ratio

2.95

Potentially overvalued

Price to Book

9.77

EV/EBITDA

13.25

EPS (TTM)

$6.80

Price to Sales

1.96

Beta

0.47

Less volatile than market

How is PEP valued relative to its earnings and growth?
PepsiCo Inc. trades at a P/E ratio of 19.27, which is near the market average of approximately 20, suggesting the market views it as fairly valued relative to its earnings. Looking ahead, the forward P/E of 16.56 is lower than the current P/E, indicating analysts expect earnings to grow over the next year. The PEG ratio of 2.95 indicates a premium valuation even accounting for growth.
What is PEP's risk profile compared to the market?
With a beta of 0.47, PepsiCo Inc. is less volatile than the overall market. This means when the market moves up or down by 10%, this stock typically moves less than 10% in the same direction. Lower beta stocks are often preferred by conservative investors seeking stability. The price-to-book ratio of 9.77 shows investors value the company above its book value, which often reflects intangible assets or growth prospects.

Performance & Growth

Profit Margin

10.20%

Operating Margin

15.80%

Return on Equity

49.90%

Return on Assets

8.86%

Revenue Growth (YoY)

-1.80%

Earnings Growth (YoY)

-10.10%

How profitable and efficient is PEP's business model?
PepsiCo Inc. achieves a profit margin of 10.20%, meaning it retains $10.20 from every $100 in revenue after all expenses. This represents a solid margin typical of well-run businesses, showing the company can effectively balance revenue generation with cost control. The operating margin of 15.80% reveals how efficiently the company runs its core business operations before interest and taxes. With ROE at 49.90% and ROA at 8.86%, the company generates strong returns on invested capital.
What are PEP's recent growth trends?
PepsiCo Inc.'s revenue declined by 1.80% year-over-year, indicating challenges in maintaining sales momentum. This contraction may reflect market headwinds, competitive pressures, or strategic transitions. Earnings decreased by 10.10% year-over-year, reflecting the bottom-line impact of business performance. These growth metrics should be evaluated against BEVERAGES industry averages for proper context.

Dividend Information

Dividend Per Share

$5.42

Dividend Yield

4.34%

Ex-Dividend Date

6/6/2025

Dividend Date

6/30/2025

What dividend income can investors expect from PEP?
PepsiCo Inc. offers a dividend yield of 4.34%, paying $5.42 per share annually. This high yield exceeds 4%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 average of 1.5-2% and most investment-grade bonds. For income-focused investors, this represents an attractive cash flow opportunity, though high yields sometimes signal market concerns about sustainability. To receive the next dividend, shares must be purchased before the ex-dividend date of 6/6/2025.
How reliable is PEP's dividend for long-term investors?
The dividend sustainability can be assessed through the payout ratio - PepsiCo Inc. pays $5.42 per share in dividends against earnings of $6.80 per share, resulting in a payout ratio of 79.71%. This high payout ratio of 60-90% leaves limited earnings for reinvestment. While currently sustainable, there's less buffer for dividend growth or protection during earnings downturns. The next dividend payment is scheduled for 6/30/2025.

Company Size & Market

Shares Outstanding

1.37B

Book Value/Share

$13.39

Asset Type

Common Stock

What is PEP's market capitalization and position?
PepsiCo Inc. has a market capitalization of $179.67B, classifying it as a large-cap stock ($10B-$200B). Large-caps are typically industry leaders with established business models, offering a balance of stability and growth potential. They often provide dividend income and are core holdings in institutional portfolios. With 1.37B shares outstanding, the company's ownership is widely distributed. As a major player in the BEVERAGES industry, it competes with other firms in this sector.
How does PEP's price compare to its book value?
PepsiCo Inc.'s book value per share is $13.39, while the current stock price is $143.45, resulting in a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 10.71. This high P/B ratio indicates significant intangible assets, strong brand value, or high growth expectations. Technology and consumer brand companies often trade at elevated P/B ratios due to intellectual property and competitive advantages not reflected on the balance sheet. As a common stock, this represents equity ownership with voting rights.

Analyst Ratings

Analyst Target Price

$149.15

3.97% upside potential

Analyst Recommendations

Strong Buy

2

Buy

4

Hold

16

Sell

1

Strong Sell

0

How reliable are analyst predictions for PEP?
23 analysts cover PEP with 26% recommending buy/strong buy ratings. Analyst predictions have mixed reliability - studies show consensus rarely beats market returns consistently. The bearish sentiment could create opportunity if analysts are wrong. The consensus target of $149.15 implies 4.0% upside, but targets are often adjusted to follow price moves rather than predict them.
What is the Wall Street consensus on PEP?
Current analyst recommendations:2 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, 16 Hold, 1 Sell, 0The neutral stance suggests uncertainty or fair valuation at current levels.Remember that analyst opinions often lag price movements and can be influenced by investment banking relationships.

Fundamentals last updated: Jul 1, 2025, 02:42 AM

Technical Indicators

What does PEP's RSI value tell investors?
RSI data is not available for this stock.
How should traders interpret PEP's MACD and moving average crossovers?
MACD and moving average data are not available for this stock.

No technical indicators available yet.

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PepsiCo (PEP) Stock Analysis 2025: Complete Investment Guide

PepsiCo stands as a masterclass in portfolio transformation as CEO Ramon Laguarta engineers the company's evolution from sugar-laden sodas to a diversified nutrition powerhouse. With the zero sugar beverage portfolio growing 20% annually, Frito-Lay commanding 40% of the U.S. snack market, and international revenues approaching 40% of total sales, PepsiCo demonstrates how 125-year-old companies can reinvent themselves while maintaining pricing power. The company's ability to push through 10% price increases while holding market share proves that brand strength and distribution dominance create moats even inflation cannot breach.

Ramon Laguarta inherited a delicate challenge when he became PepsiCo's CEO in 2018: transform a company synonymous with sugary sodas into a modern food and beverage leader without alienating loyal consumers. 'We're becoming a positive choices company,' Laguarta declared at his first investor day, outlining plans to triple the zero-sugar portfolio while maintaining the indulgent snacks consumers crave. Six years later, the results vindicate his balanced approach. Zero sugar beverages like Pepsi Zero Sugar and Gatorade Zero grew from afterthoughts to growth drivers. Simultaneously, Frito-Lay strengthened its snack dominance by premiumizing rather than reformulating, proving consumers will pay more for their favorite Doritos even as they drink healthier beverages. For investors, PepsiCo's successful navigation of changing consumer preferences while maintaining pricing power offers a rare combination of defensive characteristics with growth potential.

The financial performance reflects masterful execution in a challenging environment. Fiscal 2024 revenue reached $91 billion, growing 8% organically despite volume pressures from aggressive pricing. Operating margins expanded to 14.5% even as commodity inflation ravaged input costs. The key: PepsiCo's unmatched portfolio breadth and distribution strength enable surgical price increases by category, channel, and geography. When Gatorade prices rise 12%, athletes still hydrate. When Lay's costs more, consumers trade down from restaurants, not away from chips. This pricing power, combined with international expansion and portfolio premiumization, drives consistent high-single-digit earnings growth that defensive investors dream about.

The Dual Engine Model: Beverages Meet Snacks

PepsiCo's genius lies not in any single product but in the portfolio construction that balances beverages (46% of revenue) with convenient foods (54%). This diversification provides multiple growth vectors while reducing dependence on any category. In beverages, PepsiCo spans carbonated soft drinks (Pepsi, Mountain Dew), sports nutrition (Gatorade), juice (Tropicana), water (Aquafina), and energy (Rockstar). In foods, Frito-Lay dominates savory snacks while Quaker addresses breakfast and nutrition bars. This breadth creates unique advantages: cross-merchandising opportunities, distribution efficiencies, and resilience against category-specific headwinds.

The synergies extend beyond operations to consumer insights and innovation. PepsiCo's understanding of flavor preferences from beverages accelerates snack innovation-Doritos Flamin' Hot leverages spicy flavor trends identified in beverages. Distribution muscle from delivering Pepsi to every corner store enables Frito-Lay to dominate shelf space. The company's direct-store-delivery system, reaching 300,000+ retail locations weekly, creates a competitive moat smaller brands cannot replicate. This integrated go-to-market approach explains why PepsiCo maintains share despite premium pricing-retailers need PepsiCo's portfolio breadth and execution excellence.

Frito-Lay: The Snack Monopoly

Within PepsiCo's portfolio, Frito-Lay stands as the crown jewel-a legal monopoly in savory snacks generating $23 billion annually with 25% operating margins. The division commands 40% U.S. market share, triple its nearest competitor. This dominance stems from a virtuous cycle: scale enables lower costs, which fund innovation and marketing, which drives volume, which increases scale. Brands like Lay's, Doritos, Cheetos, and Tostitos achieved cultural icon status through decades of consistent marketing and innovation.

Frito-Lay's competitive advantages compound over time. The division operates 30+ manufacturing plants optimized for regional preferences-spicier snacks in the Southwest, tangier flavors in the Northeast. Its 20,000-person sales force maintains relationships with every significant retailer, from Walmart to corner bodegas. Innovation cycles measured in weeks, not years, enable rapid response to flavor trends. During COVID, Frito-Lay gained 2 points of market share as consumers sought comfort foods and the company's supply chain excellence ensured availability. This share gain stuck post-pandemic, demonstrating that in snacks, the strong get stronger.

The Zero Sugar Transformation

Laguarta's strategic masterstroke involves transforming PepsiCo's beverage portfolio without abandoning core brands. Rather than reformulating original Pepsi-risking a New Coke debacle-the company invested in zero sugar variants that taste remarkably similar to originals. Pepsi Zero Sugar, reformulated with new sweetener blends, grew 20%+ for three consecutive years. Gatorade Zero captured fitness enthusiasts avoiding sugar while maintaining electrolyte benefits. Even Mountain Dew, long associated with extreme sugar content, successfully launched zero variants.

The zero sugar expansion addresses multiple strategic objectives. Health-conscious consumers gain options within familiar brands rather than defecting to competitors. Retailers appreciate portfolio breadth that satisfies diverse shopper preferences. Margins improve as zero sugar products command similar pricing with lower ingredient costs. Most importantly, the strategy future-proofs PepsiCo against potential sugar taxes and regulatory pressures. With zero sugar options representing 25% of beverage volume and growing, PepsiCo transforms a existential threat into a growth opportunity.

International Expansion: The Next Growth Frontier

While PepsiCo dominates North America, international markets represent the primary growth opportunity. International revenues approach 40% of total sales but remain underpenetrated relative to the global snacking opportunity. In markets like India, China, and Africa, rising middle classes discover packaged snacks and convenient beverages as incomes increase. PepsiCo's early investments in local manufacturing, distribution, and product adaptation position it to capture this growth ahead of competitors.

The international strategy balances global brands with local relevance. Lay's appears worldwide but with locally inspired flavors-Masala in India, Cucumber in China, Biltong in South Africa. Pricing strategies adapt to local purchasing power through package size innovation. In emerging markets, single-serve packages at accessible price points drive trial and build habits. As consumers prosper, they graduate to larger formats with better margins. This patient market development approach, funded by developed market cash flows, creates long-term growth runways as billions enter the global middle class.

E-Commerce and Digital Transformation

PepsiCo's digital transformation extends beyond e-commerce to encompass the entire value chain. Online sales reached 15% of revenue in 2024, triple pre-pandemic levels, as the company mastered direct-to-consumer snack delivery and partnered with rapid delivery services. But digital impact goes deeper-AI-powered demand forecasting reduced out-of-stocks by 50%. Route optimization algorithms improved delivery efficiency 20%. Digital marketing precision targeting increased ROI 30% while reducing absolute spending.

The company's digital investments create competitive advantages beyond sales growth. PepsiCo.com enables direct consumer relationships, providing data insights impossible through traditional retail. Subscription services for office snacks and home pantry stocking generate predictable revenue streams. Social media monitoring identifies flavor trends months before competitors. Digital capabilities also enhance the consumer experience-QR codes on packages unlock exclusive content, gamification drives engagement, and personalized offers increase loyalty. As digital natives become primary shoppers, PepsiCo's tech investments ensure relevance with next-generation consumers.

Financial Resilience: The Defensive Growth Story

PepsiCo's financial profile exemplifies defensive growth-steady expansion regardless of economic conditions. Revenue grew every year since 2009, including during COVID disruptions. Operating margins expanded 300 basis points over the past decade through productivity initiatives and mix improvement. Free cash flow generation of $7 billion annually funds both growth investments and shareholder returns. The balance sheet remains conservative with net debt at 2.5x EBITDA, providing flexibility for acquisitions or increased returns.

Capital allocation balances growth with income investor needs. The dividend, raised for 52 consecutive years, yields 2.8% with a payout ratio of 65% ensuring sustainability. Share repurchases of $2 billion annually provide additional returns while gradually shrinking share count. Growth investments focus on capacity expansion in developing markets and digital capabilities rather than expensive acquisitions. This disciplined approach generates 15% annual total returns over the past decade-exceptional for a consumer staple-while maintaining the stability income investors require.

Key Investment Risks

  • GLP-1 weight loss drugs potentially reducing snack consumption long-term
  • Private label competition intensifying as retailers improve quality
  • Commodity inflation in corn, potatoes, and packaging pressuring margins
  • Health consciousness shifting consumers away from packaged foods
  • Emerging market currency volatility impacting international profits
  • Retail consolidation increasing customer negotiating power
  • Plastic packaging regulations threatening cost structures

Growth Opportunities

  • Zero sugar portfolio expansion into new categories and flavors
  • International market penetration with GDP per capita growth
  • Premiumization through better-for-you and functional products
  • Energy drink market entry leveraging distribution advantages
  • Plant-based snacks capitalizing on dietary shifts
  • Direct-to-consumer acceleration building customer relationships
  • Strategic acquisitions in high-growth adjacent categories

Competitive Landscape: Scale Advantages Compound

PepsiCo's competitive position strengthens despite facing formidable rivals. In beverages, Coca-Cola matches distribution breadth but lacks snack diversification. In snacks, private label gains share at the low end while premium brands nibble at the high end. Yet PepsiCo's scale advantages-purchasing power, marketing efficiency, innovation resources, distribution density-create barriers that grow over time. The company spends $2 billion annually on advertising, drowning out smaller competitors. Its innovation pipeline launches 100+ products yearly, overwhelming retail buyers with choice.

The competitive dynamics favor incumbents as industry consolidation continues. Retail consolidation means fewer, larger customers who prefer dealing with fewer, larger suppliers. E-commerce fulfillment economics favor companies with broad portfolios that fill boxes efficiently. Sustainability requirements demand investments only large companies can afford. These structural trends suggest PepsiCo's market position will strengthen rather than erode, providing confidence in long-term earnings power despite near-term challenges.

Ramon Laguarta: The Quiet Transformer

Ramon Laguarta represents a new generation of CPG leadership-internationally minded, digitally savvy, yet respectful of heritage brands. His 30-year PepsiCo career spanning multiple geographies provides deep institutional knowledge balanced with global perspective. Unlike predecessors who pursued splashy acquisitions or radical pivots, Laguarta focuses on operational excellence and incremental innovation. This measured approach may lack headlines but delivers consistent results that compound value over time.

Laguarta's leadership team blends PepsiCo veterans with external hires bringing fresh perspectives. Hugh Johnston's CFO tenure established financial discipline before his recent departure. Kirk Tanner (Beverage CEO) and Steven Williams (Foods CEO) drive divisional performance with decades of experience. The deep bench ensures continuity while Laguarta, at 60, has years of runway ahead. His commitment to sustainability and purpose-driven growth resonates with younger employees and consumers, positioning PepsiCo culturally for continued success.

Valuation Analysis: Quality at a Fair Price

At $165 per share, PepsiCo trades at 23x forward earnings-a premium to the S&P 500 but reasonable for a defensive growth stock. Compared to consumer staples peers averaging 20x, PepsiCo's premium reflects superior growth prospects and execution track record. On an EV/EBITDA basis, PepsiCo's 15x multiple aligns with historical averages despite improved business quality. The dividend yield of 2.8% exceeds 10-year Treasury rates while growing mid-single digits annually.

DCF analysis assuming 6% revenue growth, modest margin expansion, and 8% discount rate yields fair value of $175-185. The bull case-successful portfolio transformation, emerging market acceleration, margin expansion-pushes valuation above $200. Bear scenarios focusing on volume pressures and GLP-1 impacts still support $140+ given PepsiCo's defensive characteristics. Risk-reward appears balanced, suggesting PepsiCo suits investors seeking quality compounders rather than deep value or aggressive growth.

Investment Recommendation Grid

Conclusion

BUY for income and defensive investors seeking high-quality exposure to consumer staples with growth characteristics. PepsiCo's combination of portfolio strength, pricing power, and international opportunities justifies its premium valuation. While near-term pressures from GLP-1 drugs and consumer value-seeking create headlines, the company's long-term competitive advantages remain intact. The balanced approach to portfolio transformation-healthier options without abandoning indulgent favorites-positions PepsiCo to thrive regardless of consumer preference shifts. With reasonable valuation, strong dividend growth, and Ramon Laguarta's proven execution, PepsiCo warrants core portfolio positioning for conservative investors seeking both income and growth.

Bull Case
$200 (21% upside)
Base Case
$180 (9% upside)
Bear Case
$140 (15% downside)

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