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CACI International Inc (CACI) Stock

CACI International Inc Stock Details, Movements and Public Alerts

CACI International (CACI): The $11B Defense IT Contractor Powering U.S. Intelligence and Military Operations

Under CEO John Mengucci's leadership since 2012, CACI has grown from a $3B government IT contractor into an $11B national security technology leader. The company's deep expertise in signals intelligence (SIGINT), electronic warfare, and C4ISR (Command, Control, Communications, Computers, Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance) makes it indispensable to agencies like NSA, CIA, and DoD. CACI's 24,000 cleared professionals—many with Top Secret/SCI clearances—deliver software, hardware, and analytics for the most sensitive U.S. operations. Recent acquisitions including Azure Summit (cyber operations) and CACI-NSS (space superiority) expand capabilities in high-growth defense priorities. With defense budgets rising 5-7% annually amid great power competition with China and Russia, and 90% contract renewal rates, CACI provides visibility rare in government contracting.

52-Week Range

$596.95 - $318.60

-0.70% from high · +86.05% from low

Avg Daily Volume

274,542

20-day average

100-day avg: 244,641

Fundamentals

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio (TTM)

24.88

Near market average

Forward P/E

17.83

Earnings expected to grow

PEG Ratio

3.38

Potentially overvalued

Price to Book

2.93

EV/EBITDA

15.27

EPS (TTM)

$22.64

Price to Sales

1.40

Beta

0.63

Less volatile than market

How is CACI valued relative to its earnings and growth?
CACI International Inc trades at a P/E ratio of 24.88, which is near the market average of approximately 20, suggesting the market views it as fairly valued relative to its earnings. Looking ahead, the forward P/E of 17.83 is lower than the current P/E, indicating analysts expect earnings to grow over the next year. The PEG ratio of 3.38 indicates a premium valuation even accounting for growth.
What is CACI's risk profile compared to the market?
With a beta of 0.63, CACI International Inc is less volatile than the overall market. This means when the market moves up or down by 10%, this stock typically moves less than 10% in the same direction. Lower beta stocks are often preferred by conservative investors seeking stability. The price-to-book ratio of 2.93 shows investors value the company above its book value, which often reflects intangible assets or growth prospects.

Performance & Growth

Profit Margin

5.70%

Operating Margin

9.28%

EBITDA

$1.02B

Return on Equity

13.10%

Return on Assets

6.31%

Revenue Growth (YoY)

11.20%

Earnings Growth (YoY)

5.60%

How profitable and efficient is CACI's business model?
CACI International Inc achieves a profit margin of 5.70%, meaning it retains $5.70 from every $100 in revenue after all expenses. This relatively low margin suggests the company operates in a competitive environment or high-cost industry where profitability is challenging. The operating margin of 9.28% reveals how efficiently the company runs its core business operations before interest and taxes. With ROE at 13.10% and ROA at 6.31%, the company achieves moderate returns on invested capital.
What are CACI's recent growth trends?
CACI International Inc's revenue grew by 11.20% year-over-year, showing steady progress in growing the business. This positive trajectory indicates the company maintains competitive positioning in its markets. Earnings increased by 5.60% year-over-year, reflecting the bottom-line impact of business performance. These growth metrics should be evaluated against INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY SERVICES industry averages for proper context.

Company Size & Market

Market Cap

$12.4B

Revenue (TTM)

$8.86B

Revenue/Share (TTM)

$399.58

Shares Outstanding

22.08M

Book Value/Share

$183.03

Asset Type

Common Stock

What is CACI's market capitalization and position?
CACI International Inc has a market capitalization of $12.4B, classifying it as a large-cap stock ($10B-$200B). Large-caps are typically industry leaders with established business models, offering a balance of stability and growth potential. They often provide dividend income and are core holdings in institutional portfolios. With 22.08M shares outstanding, the company's ownership is relatively concentrated. As a participant in the INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY SERVICES industry, it competes with other firms in this sector.
How does CACI's price compare to its book value?
CACI International Inc's book value per share is $183.03, while the current stock price is $592.76, resulting in a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 3.24. This high P/B ratio indicates significant intangible assets, strong brand value, or high growth expectations. Technology and consumer brand companies often trade at elevated P/B ratios due to intellectual property and competitive advantages not reflected on the balance sheet. As a common stock, this represents equity ownership with voting rights.

Analyst Ratings

Analyst Target Price

$646.64

9.09% upside potential

Analyst Recommendations

Strong Buy

1

Buy

10

Hold

2

Sell

0

Strong Sell

0

How reliable are analyst predictions for CACI?
13 analysts cover CACI with 85% recommending buy/strong buy ratings. Analyst predictions have mixed reliability - studies show consensus rarely beats market returns consistently. The strong bullish consensus may already be priced in. The consensus target of $646.64 implies 9.1% upside, but targets are often adjusted to follow price moves rather than predict them.
What is the Wall Street consensus on CACI?
Current analyst recommendations:1 Strong Buy, 10 Buy, 2 Hold, 00The bullish tilt suggests optimism about future prospects, though investors should conduct independent research.Remember that analyst opinions often lag price movements and can be influenced by investment banking relationships.

Fundamentals last updated: Nov 1, 2025, 02:03 AM

Technical Indicators

RSI (14-day)

69.31

Neutral

50-Day Moving Average

$519.11

14.19% above MA-50

200-Day Moving Average

$452.54

30.99% above MA-200

MACD Line

19.78

MACD Signal

18.02

MACD Histogram

1.76

Bullish

What does CACI's RSI value tell investors?
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) for CACI is currently 69.31, indicating the stock is showing bullish momentum (60-70 range). The stock has positive momentum without being extremely overbought. This zone often occurs during healthy uptrends where buyers remain in control. Combined with the price being above the 50-day moving average, this confirms bullish conditions.
How should traders interpret CACI's MACD and moving average crossovers?
MACD analysis shows the MACD line at 19.78 above the signal line at 18.02, with histogram at 1.76. This bullish crossover suggests upward momentum is building. The wide histogram confirms strong momentum. The 50-day MA ($519.11) is above the 200-day MA ($452.54), forming a golden cross pattern that typically signals a long-term uptrend. Price is currently above both MAs, confirming strength.

Indicators last updated: Nov 10, 2025, 12:40 AM

Active Alerts

Alert Condition
RSI Threshold Cross
Threshold
70
Created
Nov 7, 2025, 04:28 PM
Alert Condition
Forward P/E falls below
Threshold
16 x
Created
Nov 5, 2025, 04:28 PM
Alert Condition
Price decreases by
Threshold
3%
Created
Oct 29, 2025, 11:14 PM

CACI International (CACI) Stock Analysis 2025: Complete Investment Guide

The Company That Sees Everything (Classified)

John Mengucci can't discuss 85% of CACI's work—it's classified. What's public: CACI builds the systems that collect, analyze, and disseminate intelligence for U.S. national security. From SIGINT platforms intercepting adversary communications, to cyber tools defending critical infrastructure, to AI-powered analytics processing petabytes of data, CACI operates at the intersection of software, hardware, and deep domain expertise. The company's competitive advantage isn't technology alone—it's the combination of TS/SCI-cleared talent, proven execution on black programs, and relationships built over decades. Once embedded in a classified program, CACI's 90% renewal rate reflects switching costs: replacing contractors requires re-clearing personnel, re-architecting systems, and risking mission continuity.

Business Model & Competitive Moat

CACI operates on cost-plus and fixed-price contracts with 3-5 year durations. The moat: (1) Security clearances—obtaining TS/SCI takes 12-18 months, limiting competitor talent pools; (2) Domain expertise—CACI's teams understand classified requirements competitors can't even bid on; (3) Incumbent advantage—90% renewal rates as switching disrupts sensitive missions. Revenue is 70% DoD, 20% Intelligence Community, 10% other federal. Margins average 8-10% EBITDA, lower than commercial tech but stable and predictable.

Financial Performance

  • Revenue: $7.5B TTM growing 15% annually (6% organic + acquisitions)
  • EBITDA Margin: 10.5% with operating leverage as scale increases
  • Free Cash Flow: $450M annually supporting M&A and debt paydown
  • Backlog: $28B total ($11B funded) = 2.5 years of revenue visibility
  • Leverage: 3.8x net debt/EBITDA, elevated post-Azure acquisition but declining

Growth Catalysts

  • Defense Budget Growth: Pentagon requesting $850B+ for FY2025, up 5% YoY, with IT/cyber spending growing 8-10%
  • Great Power Competition: China/Russia threats driving demand for SIGINT, cyber, and space capabilities—CACI's core
  • Digital Modernization: DoD's Joint All-Domain Command & Control (JADC2) requiring cloud, AI, edge computing integration
  • Space Superiority: CACI-NSS acquisition positions for $15B+ annual space budget growth
  • M&A Pipeline: Fragmented $180B defense IT market enabling accretive bolt-on acquisitions

Risks & Challenges

  • Budget Uncertainty: Continuing resolutions and debt ceiling fights can delay contracts, hurting quarterly results
  • Customer Concentration: 95% revenue from U.S. government—policy shifts or budget cuts directly impact business
  • Security Clearance Delays: Workforce expansion constrained by 12-18 month clearance processing times
  • Protest Risk: Competitors can protest contract awards, delaying wins 6-12 months and creating uncertainty
  • M&A Integration: Aggressive acquisition pace (10+ deals in 5 years) risks execution missteps and culture clashes

Competitive Landscape

CACI competes with Booz Allen Hamilton (consulting + tech, $10B revenue), SAIC ($7B, similar IT focus), Leidos ($15B, broader portfolio), and General Dynamics IT ($10B, part of GD conglomerate). CACI differentiates through focus: while peers chase commercial or international work, CACI is pure-play U.S. national security. This specialization enables deeper relationships with Intelligence Community customers, where trust and clearances matter more than price. However, it also creates concentration risk—CACI cannot diversify away from federal budgets.

Who Is This Stock Suitable For?

Perfect For

  • Defensive investors seeking recession-resistant government revenue
  • Long-term holders (5+ years) comfortable with government contract cycles
  • Dividend growers willing to accept modest 0.5% yield for 10%+ annual increases
  • Investors bullish on defense spending amid geopolitical tensions

Less Suitable For

  • Income investors requiring high current yield (CACI pays 0.5%)
  • Growth investors seeking tech-like margins (8-10% EBITDA vs. 30%+ software)
  • Short-term traders (low volatility, moves slowly)
  • ESG-focused portfolios (defense work excludes from many ESG funds)

Investment Thesis

CACI offers defensive growth through government IT spending that rises regardless of economic conditions. While commercial tech companies face demand fluctuations, CACI's classified programs continue through recessions—national security doesn't pause for GDP contractions. The $28B backlog provides 2.5 years of revenue visibility, rare in contracting. At 18x earnings, CACI trades at a premium to Booz Allen (15x) and SAIC (14x) but justifies it through faster growth (15% vs. 8-10% peers) and operational leverage expanding margins. For patient investors, CACI compounds at 12-15% annually through contract wins, acquisitions, and margin expansion—not exciting, but consistent.

Conclusion

CACI is BUY for conservative growth portfolios. Best suited for investors seeking defense exposure with lower volatility than prime contractors (Lockheed, Northrop). Not appropriate for income-focused accounts (0.5% yield) or ESG mandates.
Bull Case
$495 (18% upside) - Defense budget grows 7%+, margins expand to 11.5% via scale
Base Case
$450 (7% upside) - Steady 15% revenue growth, 10.5% margins maintained
Bear Case
$365 (13% downside) - Budget cuts, contract protests delay growth

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