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Corpay Inc (CPAY) Stock

Corpay Inc Stock Details, Movements and Public Alerts

Corpay Inc (CPAY): The $50 Billion Payments Giant Monetizing Every Fleet Transaction and Corporate Expense

Ron Clarke transformed FleetCor from a fleet fuel card provider into a $50+ billion B2B payments powerhouse, rebranding to Corpay in 2024 to reflect the strategic shift. The company monetizes friction in corporate spending: fuel cards (75 million vehicles globally), corporate lodging (travel management for Fortune 500), accounts payable automation, and vehicle payments (tolls, parking, charging). Each transaction generates 2-3% take rates as Corpay captures spread between what it charges clients and negotiates with merchants. Clarke's acquisition strategy added 100+ tuck-in deals over two decades, consolidating fragmented corporate payments verticals. For investors seeking defensive fintech exposure with recession-resistant recurring revenue, Corpay offers toll-booth economics across essential business expenses.

52-Week Range

$400.81 - $252.84

-22.13% from high · +23.45% from low

Avg Daily Volume

597,210

Latest volume

Fundamentals

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio (TTM)

21.50

Near market average

Forward P/E

12.84

Earnings expected to grow

PEG Ratio

0.92

Potentially undervalued

Price to Book

5.43

EV/EBITDA

12.36

EPS (TTM)

$14.71

Price to Sales

5.18

Beta

0.85

Less volatile than market

How is CPAY valued relative to its earnings and growth?
Corpay Inc trades at a P/E ratio of 21.50, which is near the market average of approximately 20, suggesting the market views it as fairly valued relative to its earnings. Looking ahead, the forward P/E of 12.84 is lower than the current P/E, indicating analysts expect earnings to grow over the next year. The PEG ratio of 0.92 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth rate.
What is CPAY's risk profile compared to the market?
With a beta of 0.85, Corpay Inc is less volatile than the overall market. This means when the market moves up or down by 10%, this stock typically moves less than 10% in the same direction. Lower beta stocks are often preferred by conservative investors seeking stability. The price-to-book ratio of 5.43 shows investors value the company above its book value, which often reflects intangible assets or growth prospects.

Performance & Growth

Profit Margin

24.40%

Operating Margin

44.60%

EBITDA

$2.26B

Return on Equity

29.10%

Return on Assets

6.31%

Revenue Growth (YoY)

13.90%

Earnings Growth (YoY)

0.30%

How profitable and efficient is CPAY's business model?
Corpay Inc achieves a profit margin of 24.40%, meaning it retains $24.40 from every $100 in revenue after all expenses. This is an impressive margin, indicating strong pricing power and efficient cost management that allows the company to generate substantial profits. The operating margin of 44.60% reveals how efficiently the company runs its core business operations before interest and taxes. With ROE at 29.10% and ROA at 6.31%, the company generates strong returns on invested capital.
What are CPAY's recent growth trends?
Corpay Inc's revenue grew by 13.90% year-over-year, showing steady progress in growing the business. This positive trajectory indicates the company maintains competitive positioning in its markets. Earnings increased by 0.30% year-over-year, reflecting the bottom-line impact of business performance. These growth metrics should be evaluated against SOFTWARE - INFRASTRUCTURE industry averages for proper context.

Company Size & Market

Market Cap

$22.3B

Revenue (TTM)

$4.31B

Revenue/Share (TTM)

$61.39

Shares Outstanding

69.96M

Book Value/Share

$58.19

Asset Type

Common Stock

What is CPAY's market capitalization and position?
Corpay Inc has a market capitalization of $22.3B, classifying it as a large-cap stock ($10B-$200B). Large-caps are typically industry leaders with established business models, offering a balance of stability and growth potential. They often provide dividend income and are core holdings in institutional portfolios. With 69.96M shares outstanding, the company's ownership is relatively concentrated. As a participant in the SOFTWARE - INFRASTRUCTURE industry, it competes with other firms in this sector.
How does CPAY's price compare to its book value?
Corpay Inc's book value per share is $58.19, while the current stock price is $312.13, resulting in a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 5.36. This high P/B ratio indicates significant intangible assets, strong brand value, or high growth expectations. Technology and consumer brand companies often trade at elevated P/B ratios due to intellectual property and competitive advantages not reflected on the balance sheet. As a common stock, this represents equity ownership with voting rights.

Analyst Ratings

Analyst Target Price

$353.46

13.24% upside potential

Analyst Recommendations

Strong Buy

3

Buy

6

Hold

5

Sell

0

Strong Sell

0

How reliable are analyst predictions for CPAY?
14 analysts cover CPAY with 64% recommending buy/strong buy ratings. Analyst predictions have mixed reliability - studies show consensus rarely beats market returns consistently. The mixed views reflect uncertainty about the outlook. The consensus target of $353.46 implies 13.2% upside, but targets are often adjusted to follow price moves rather than predict them.
What is the Wall Street consensus on CPAY?
Current analyst recommendations:3 Strong Buy, 6 Buy, 5 Hold, 00The bullish tilt suggests optimism about future prospects, though investors should conduct independent research.Remember that analyst opinions often lag price movements and can be influenced by investment banking relationships.

Fundamentals last updated: Dec 13, 2025, 08:21 AM

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Corpay Inc (CPAY) Stock Analysis 2025: Complete Investment Guide

Corporate payments suffer from fragmentation—companies use separate systems for fuel, lodging, tolls, parking, and AP. Ron Clarke built Corpay (rebranded from FleetCor in 2024) to consolidate this chaos into unified B2B payment infrastructure. The company processes $50+ billion annually, capturing 2-3% on every transaction through merchant discounts and client fees. Fleet fuel cards serve 75 million vehicles, corporate lodging manages travel for Fortune 500 companies, and AP automation digitizes invoice payments. Clarke's M&A playbook—100+ acquisitions over two decades—created a payments toll booth that monetizes essential, non-discretionary business expenses. For investors, CPAY offers defensive fintech exposure: companies must pay for fuel, lodging, and invoices regardless of economic cycles.

Business Model & Competitive Moat

Corpay operates as a B2B payments intermediary across three segments: Vehicle Payments (fuel cards, tolls, parking, EV charging), Corporate Payments (lodging, AP automation), and Lodging (travel management). The company issues payment cards and software to corporate clients, negotiates discounts with merchants (fuel stations, hotels, suppliers), and captures the spread. Revenue comes from transaction fees (per-swipe charges), interchange (from card networks), and merchant rebates (negotiated discounts shared with clients).

The competitive moat rests on network effects and switching costs. Ron Clarke's 75 million vehicle network creates merchant relationships (access to Chevron, Shell, Exxon) that small competitors cannot replicate. Corporate clients integrate Corpay's cards into fleet management, expense reporting, and accounting systems—switching requires multi-year IT overhauls. The M&A consolidation strategy builds vertical dominance: buying fuel card competitors, tolling providers, and lodging platforms creates one-stop-shop convenience that prevents clients from shopping around. Recurring revenue (80%+ from contracts) provides predictable cash flow that funds continued acquisitions.

Financial Performance

  • Payment Volume: $50B+ annually across all segments; 2-3% take rate generates ~$1.5B+ revenue
  • Revenue Mix: Vehicle Payments ~50%, Corporate Payments ~30%, Lodging ~20%
  • Recurring Revenue: 80%+ from long-term corporate contracts; <5% annual churn
  • Profitability: 30%+ EBITDA margins; highly scalable business model
  • M&A Activity: 100+ acquisitions since inception; continuous tuck-ins consolidating verticals

Growth Catalysts

  • EV Charging Expansion: Adding electric vehicle charging to fuel card network captures fleet electrification tailwinds
  • AP Automation Adoption: Corporate shift from paper invoices to digital payments expands addressable market
  • Cross-Sell Opportunities: Fleet clients adopting lodging/AP solutions increases revenue per customer
  • International Expansion: Underpenetrated markets (Asia, Latin America) offer geographic growth runway
  • M&A Pipeline: Fragmented B2B payments create continuous acquisition targets for Clarke's rollup strategy

Risks & Challenges

  • Economic Sensitivity: Recession reduces business travel, fleet miles driven, and transaction volumes
  • Fuel Price Volatility: Lower gas prices reduce absolute transaction values, compressing revenue
  • Technology Disruption: Direct merchant-to-corporate platforms (Amazon Business) threaten intermediary model
  • M&A Integration: 100+ acquisitions create integration complexity and potential culture clashes
  • Regulatory Risk: Interchange fee regulations (similar to Durbin Amendment) could compress margins

Competitive Landscape

Corpay competes across fragmented B2B payments verticals. Fleet fuel cards face WEX, Comdata, and regional players. Corporate payments compete with Brex, Ramp, and traditional expense platforms like Concur. AP automation battles Bill.com and Tipalti.

CompanyFocusDifferentiator
Corpay (CPAY)Multi-vertical B2B paymentsFleet + corporate + lodging consolidation
WEX (WEX)Fleet fuel cardsHealthcare + fleet combo
BrexCorporate cardsStartup-focused, tech-native
Bill.com (BILL)AP automationSMB accounts payable

Ron Clarke's competitive positioning leverages scale and cross-sell. While competitors specialize (WEX in fuel, Brex in corporate cards), Clarke offers bundled solutions—fleet clients get lodging and AP automation, creating wallet share expansion. The 2024 Corpay rebrand signals ambitions beyond fleet into comprehensive corporate spend management.

Who Is This Stock Suitable For?

Perfect For

  • Defensive fintech allocations seeking recession-resistant business models
  • Value investors attracted to toll-booth economics and recurring revenue
  • Long-term holders (5+ years) betting on B2B payments digitization
  • Dividend growth potential (company has capacity for future distributions)

Less Suitable For

  • Growth investors seeking 30%+ revenue CAGR (mature, mid-single-digit organic growth)
  • Income portfolios (no current dividend despite profitability)
  • ESG-constrained mandates (fossil fuel card exposure conflicts with climate goals)
  • Traders seeking high volatility (steady, compounding business)

Investment Thesis

Corpay embodies the "boring is beautiful" fintech investment. Ron Clarke monetizes essential, non-discretionary corporate expenses—companies must fuel fleets, book lodging, and pay invoices regardless of economic conditions. The 80%+ recurring revenue base provides predictable cash flow, while 30%+ EBITDA margins fund continuous M&A. EV charging expansion future-proofs the fleet segment as electrification accelerates. AP automation adoption drives secular growth as corporates digitize paper-based processes.

The bear case centers on economic sensitivity and technology disruption. Recession reduces travel and fleet activity, compressing transaction volumes. Amazon Business and direct merchant platforms could disintermediate Corpay's value proposition. However, Clarke's 20-year track record demonstrates execution consistency through multiple cycles. For investors seeking defensive fintech exposure with mid-single-digit organic growth plus M&A upside, CPAY offers toll-booth economics at reasonable valuations. The 2024 rebrand signals Clarke's vision extending beyond fleet—watch cross-sell metrics and international expansion as growth validation.

Conclusion

Corpay is a HOLD with selective BUY opportunities on 10%+ pullbacks. The toll-booth model offers fair value for defensive fintech with 8-10% annualized return potential. Not suitable for aggressive growth portfolios, but valuable as 3-5% fintech diversification in balanced allocations. Monitor EV charging adoption and AP automation revenue growth as key indicators—accelerating adoption justifies upgrading to strong BUY.
Bull Case
$380 (25% upside) — EV charging scales, AP automation accelerates, international expansion succeeds, M&A synergies exceed targets
Base Case
$320 (5% upside) — Steady mid-single-digit organic growth, M&A continues, margins stable, cross-sell modest
Bear Case
$240 (20% downside) — Recession crushes travel/fleet activity, Amazon Business gains share, regulatory fee compression, M&A integration failures

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