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DocuSign Inc (DOCU) Stock

DocuSign Inc Stock Details, Movements and Public Alerts

DocuSign Inc (DOCU): The $12 Billion E-Signature Leader Navigating Post-Pandemic Normalization and AI Transformation

Under CEO Allan Thygesen's leadership since 2022, DocuSign navigated its most challenging transition—moving beyond pandemic-fueled hypergrowth (50%+ revenue gains in 2020-2021) toward sustainable expansion in normalized demand environment. The company's core e-signature platform remains the gold standard with 70%+ market share in enterprise segment, processing everything from mortgage closures to employment contracts. Strategic pivot toward Intelligent Agreement Management leverages AI to automate entire contract lifecycle—from generation through negotiation, execution, and analysis—expanding addressable market from $50B (e-signature) to $150B+ (total agreement workflow). Recent product innovations including DocuSign IAM, Navigator (AI contract analysis), and Maestro (workflow automation) demonstrate evolution from point solution to platform play. Despite revenue growth decelerating to mid-single digits and increased competition from Microsoft (embedded in Office), Adobe (Acrobat Sign), and specialized competitors, DocuSign's network effects (interoperability across organizations), compliance certifications (critical for regulated industries), and ecosystem integrations create defensible position. The stock trades at depressed 4x EV/Sales—down from pandemic peak 20x—reflecting market pessimism about growth re-acceleration, though improving free cash flow and potential for AI-driven product cycle present asymmetric upside for patient value investors.

52-Week Range

$99.70 - $63.41

-31.14% from high · +8.26% from low

Avg Daily Volume

3,104,820

20-day average

100-day avg: 2,930,079

Fundamentals

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio (TTM)

49.04

Above market average

Forward P/E

16.78

Earnings expected to grow

PEG Ratio

0.41

Potentially undervalued

Price to Book

7.10

EV/EBITDA

30.79

EPS (TTM)

$1.45

Price to Sales

4.51

Beta

0.99

Less volatile than market

Q:How is DOCU valued relative to its earnings and growth?
DocuSign Inc trades at a P/E ratio of 49.04, which is above the market average of approximately 20. This premium valuation suggests investors expect above-average growth or the company has competitive advantages justifying the higher multiple. Looking ahead, the forward P/E of 16.78 is lower than the current P/E, indicating analysts expect earnings to grow over the next year. The PEG ratio of 0.41 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth rate.
Q:What is DOCU's risk profile compared to the market?
With a beta of 0.99, DocuSign Inc is less volatile than the overall market. This means when the market moves up or down by 10%, this stock typically moves less than 10% in the same direction. Lower beta stocks are often preferred by conservative investors seeking stability. The price-to-book ratio of 7.10 shows investors value the company above its book value, which often reflects intangible assets or growth prospects.

Performance & Growth

Profit Margin

9.57%

Operating Margin

10.40%

EBITDA

$318.36M

Return on Equity

15.20%

Return on Assets

4.38%

Revenue Growth (YoY)

8.40%

Earnings Growth (YoY)

33.30%

Q:How profitable and efficient is DOCU's business model?
DocuSign Inc achieves a profit margin of 9.57%, meaning it retains $9.57 from every $100 in revenue after all expenses. This represents a solid margin typical of well-run businesses, showing the company can effectively balance revenue generation with cost control. The operating margin of 10.40% reveals how efficiently the company runs its core business operations before interest and taxes. With ROE at 15.20% and ROA at 4.38%, the company generates strong returns on invested capital.
Q:What are DOCU's recent growth trends?
DocuSign Inc's revenue grew by 8.40% year-over-year, showing steady progress in growing the business. This positive trajectory indicates the company maintains competitive positioning in its markets. Earnings increased by 33.30% year-over-year, outpacing revenue growth through improved margins. These growth metrics should be evaluated against SOFTWARE - APPLICATION industry averages for proper context.

Company Size & Market

Market Cap

$14.2B

Revenue (TTM)

$3.16B

Revenue/Share (TTM)

$15.58

Shares Outstanding

200.27M

Book Value/Share

$9.89

Asset Type

Common Stock

Q:What is DOCU's market capitalization and position?
DocuSign Inc has a market capitalization of $14.2B, classifying it as a large-cap stock ($10B-$200B). Large-caps are typically industry leaders with established business models, offering a balance of stability and growth potential. They often provide dividend income and are core holdings in institutional portfolios. With 200.27M shares outstanding, the company's ownership is relatively concentrated. As a participant in the SOFTWARE - APPLICATION industry, it competes with other firms in this sector.
Q:How does DOCU's price compare to its book value?
DocuSign Inc's book value per share is $9.89, while the current stock price is $68.65, resulting in a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 6.94. This high P/B ratio indicates significant intangible assets, strong brand value, or high growth expectations. Technology and consumer brand companies often trade at elevated P/B ratios due to intellectual property and competitive advantages not reflected on the balance sheet. As a common stock, this represents equity ownership with voting rights.

Analyst Ratings

Analyst Target Price

$86.41

25.87% upside potential

Analyst Recommendations

Strong Buy

3

Buy

3

Hold

15

Sell

0

Strong Sell

0

Q:How reliable are analyst predictions for DOCU?
21 analysts cover DOCU with 29% recommending buy/strong buy ratings. Analyst predictions have mixed reliability - studies show consensus rarely beats market returns consistently. The bearish sentiment could create opportunity if analysts are wrong. The consensus target of $86.41 implies 25.9% upside, but targets are often adjusted to follow price moves rather than predict them.
Q:What is the Wall Street consensus on DOCU?
Current analyst recommendations:3 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, 15 Hold, 00The neutral stance suggests uncertainty or fair valuation at current levels.Remember that analyst opinions often lag price movements and can be influenced by investment banking relationships.

Fundamentals last updated: Dec 14, 2025, 02:07 AM

Technical Indicators

RSI (14-day)

46.77

Neutral

50-Day Moving Average

$69.07

-0.61% below MA-50

200-Day Moving Average

$76.73

-10.53% below MA-200

MACD Line

-0.11

MACD Signal

-0.29

MACD Histogram

0.19

Bullish

Q:What does DOCU's RSI value tell investors?
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) for DOCU is currently 46.77, indicating the stock is in neutral territory (40-60 range). Neither buyers nor sellers have clear control, suggesting consolidation or balanced market forces. Combined with the price being below the 50-day moving average, this confirms bearish conditions.
Q:How should traders interpret DOCU's MACD and moving average crossovers?
MACD analysis shows the MACD line at -0.11 above the signal line at -0.29, with histogram at 0.19. This bullish crossover suggests upward momentum is building. The 50-day MA ($69.07) is below the 200-day MA ($76.73), forming a death cross pattern that often warns of extended weakness. Price is currently below both MAs, confirming weakness.

Indicators last updated: Dec 17, 2025, 01:05 PM

Active Alerts

Alert Condition
MA Breakout (Bullish)
Threshold
50 days
Created
Dec 17, 2025, 04:43 PM
Alert Condition
Forward P/E falls below
Threshold
14.26 x
Created
Dec 15, 2025, 04:41 PM
Alert Condition
Price falls below
Threshold
$63.50
Created
Dec 4, 2025, 03:34 PM
Alert Condition
Price rises above
Threshold
$94.06
Created
Dec 4, 2025, 03:34 PM
Alert Condition
Forward P/E falls below
Threshold
14.55 x
Created
Dec 2, 2025, 04:24 PM
Alert Condition
Earnings Announcement
Threshold
2 days
Created
Dec 1, 2025, 04:00 PM
Alert Condition
MA Breakout (Bullish)
Threshold
200 days
Created
Nov 28, 2025, 04:56 PM
Alert Condition
Earnings Announcement
Threshold
3 days
Created
Nov 25, 2025, 05:12 PM

DocuSign Inc (DOCU) Stock Analysis 2025: Complete Investment Guide

When the pandemic forced remote work adoption in March 2020, DocuSign became overnight essential infrastructure—wet signatures impossible when employees worked from home. For then-CEO Dan Springer, this created unprecedented growth opportunity that ultimately became strategic challenge: how to sustain momentum as offices reopened and pandemic tailwinds faded. Allan Thygesen inherited this normalization challenge in 2022, refocusing the company on profitability, AI innovation, and expanding beyond e-signatures into comprehensive agreement management. With 1.5 million customers creating powerful network effects and 90%+ net dollar retention indicating sticky installed base, DocuSign's business fundamentals remain sound despite decelerating growth. Investors must weigh whether the AI transformation strategy unlocks new growth or whether e-signature commoditization and competition erode margins faster than IAM adoption compensates.

Business Model & Competitive Moat

DocuSign operates a subscription SaaS model charging per user or per envelope (transaction) for e-signature access, with tiered pricing from $10/user/month (personal) to enterprise contracts exceeding $100,000 annually. The business generates ~$2.7 billion annual revenue with 95%+ recurring subscription share, providing visibility and predictability. DocuSign's competitive moats include network effects (value increases as more parties use the platform for cross-organizational workflows), switching costs (migrating years of signed documents and integrations creates organizational friction), regulatory compliance certifications (meeting legal e-signature requirements in 180+ countries), and ecosystem integration (embedded in Salesforce, Microsoft, Google Workspace, SAP). Recent strategic shift toward IAM expands beyond point transaction into workflow automation—AI analyzes contracts, suggests clauses, flags risks, and automates approvals. This platform transition targets higher revenue per customer while defending against commoditization of basic e-signature functionality.

Financial Performance

  • Revenue: $2.7 billion in fiscal 2024, growing 7% vs. 50%+ during pandemic peak
  • Profitability: Non-GAAP operating margin of 28%, improving from 22% as Thygesen prioritizes efficiency over growth
  • Free Cash Flow: $800 million (30% FCF margin), up from 20% through operational discipline
  • Customer Retention: Net dollar retention 101%, indicating existing customers expanding usage offsetting churn
  • Market Share: 70%+ in enterprise e-signature, though overall agreement management share <10%

Growth Catalysts

  • IAM Platform Adoption: Intelligent Agreement Management expanding $50B TAM to $150B+ as customers buy workflow tools
  • AI Product Cycle: Navigator and Maestro AI features driving upsell and competitive differentiation
  • International Expansion: 35% revenue from outside North America with room for geographic penetration
  • SMB Market Opportunity: Only 1-2% penetration of small/medium businesses, massive greenfield potential
  • Vertical Specialization: Industry-specific solutions (real estate, healthcare, financial services) increasing ARPU

Risks & Challenges

  • Commoditization: E-signature becoming table stakes feature bundled free by Microsoft/Google, pressuring pricing
  • Competition: Adobe Acrobat Sign, Microsoft embedded signatures, specialized players (PandaDoc) fragmenting market
  • Growth Deceleration: Revenue growth slowing to mid-single digits raises concerns about market saturation
  • Product Transition Risk: IAM platform adoption uncertain—customers may resist expanding beyond core e-signature
  • Macro Sensitivity: Enterprise software spending cuts during recessions directly impact new customer acquisition

Competitive Landscape

DocuSign dominates enterprise e-signature with 70%+ market share but faces intensifying competition across segments. Adobe's Acrobat Sign leverages PDF dominance and Creative Cloud distribution, though DocuSign's purpose-built workflow capabilities maintain enterprise advantage. Microsoft represents existential threat—free e-signature embedded in Office 365 captures low-end customers unwilling to pay for standalone solution. Specialized competitors like HelloSign (Dropbox), PandaDoc (SMB focus), and Ironclad (contract lifecycle management) attack specific niches. The competitive dynamic shifts as DocuSign expands into IAM: competing with contract management specialists (Icertis, Conga), legal tech platforms (Ironclad), and workflow automation tools (Nintex). DocuSign's advantage lies in installed base (1.5M customers) providing land-and-expand opportunity, while challengers must displace incumbent or win greenfield deals. Allan Thygesen's strategy focuses on platform stickiness—once customers use multiple DocuSign products beyond e-signature, switching costs escalate dramatically.

Who Is This Stock Suitable For?

Perfect For

  • Value investors seeking beaten-down SaaS at 4x EV/Sales vs. 8-10x historical average
  • Turnaround investors betting on AI product cycle re-accelerating growth to double digits
  • Cash flow focused portfolios (30% FCF margin with improving profitability trajectory)
  • Long-term holders (3-5 years) waiting for IAM platform strategy to validate

Less Suitable For

  • Growth investors seeking 20%+ revenue CAGR (mid-single-digit growth likely near-term)
  • Momentum traders (stock lacks catalysts for dramatic near-term appreciation)
  • Income investors (no dividend despite strong cash flow, focusing on product investment)
  • Investors requiring near-term re-rating catalyst (IAM adoption multi-year process)

Investment Thesis

DocuSign merits a BUY rating for value-oriented SaaS investors with 2-3 year patience. The stock's 4x EV/Sales valuation prices in significant pessimism—assuming zero growth and margin compression—creating asymmetric risk-reward. Allan Thygesen's operational improvements (28% operating margin up from 22%) demonstrate management competence while free cash flow generation ($800M annually) provides downside protection. The bear case assumes e-signature commoditization and IAM platform failure, but DocuSign's installed base, compliance moat, and ecosystem integrations suggest durable competitive positioning. Bull case hinges on IAM adoption driving revenue growth re-acceleration toward 10-15% while maintaining margins, which would justify 6-8x EV/Sales (50-100% upside from current levels). AI product features (Navigator, Maestro) represent genuine innovation rather than buzzword marketing. Near-term catalysts limited, making this patient value play rather than growth momentum story. Appropriate for 3-5% allocation in SaaS/technology portfolios seeking contrarian positioning on normalized e-signature leader with platform expansion optionality.

Conclusion

Position DocuSign as 3-5% allocation in SaaS/technology value sleeves for investors with 2-3 year horizons. The stock will likely trade range-bound ($50-65) until IAM platform traction becomes evident through re-accelerating revenue growth or expanded customer metrics. Consider accumulating below $50 when SaaS sector faces indiscriminate selling, maintaining through product transition execution, and trimming above $80 if valuation approaches 7-8x EV/Sales without corresponding growth improvement. The combination of depressed valuation, strong free cash flow, installed base network effects, and AI platform potential creates favorable risk-reward for contrarian investors willing to wait for IAM strategy validation.
Bull Case
$95 (70% upside)
Base Case
$70 (25% upside)
Bear Case
$40 (28% downside)

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