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Ford Motor Company (F) Stock

Ford Motor Company Stock Details, Movements and Public Alerts

Ford Motor Company (F): The $52B American Icon Navigating the EV Transition While Dominating Trucks

When contractors haul equipment, families load camping gear, or fleets deliver packages, Ford's F-150 and Transit dominate their categories—a position earned through 47 years as America's best-selling vehicle and cemented by CEO Jim Farley's 'Ford+' transformation plan. The company's reorganization into Ford Blue (profitable ICE vehicles), Model e (EV investment platform), and Ford Pro (high-margin commercial) creates transparency investors long demanded. Ford Pro generates 50%+ of total profits from just 20% of volume through Transit vans, Super Duty trucks, and subscription software services. Trading at 6x forward P/E with a 5%+ dividend yield, Ford offers value investors exposure to industrial America with free optionality on EV success. The challenge: Model e loses $5B+ annually while competitors from Tesla to Chinese EV makers compress margins globally.

52-Week Range

$13.84 - $8.11

-1.37% from high · +68.31% from low

Avg Daily Volume

52,502,247

Latest volume

Fundamentals

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio (TTM)

11.45

Below market average

Forward P/E

9.60

Earnings expected to grow

PEG Ratio

16.00

Potentially overvalued

Price to Book

1.15

EV/EBITDA

14.34

EPS (TTM)

$1.19

Price to Sales

0.29

Beta

1.61

More volatile than market

How is F valued relative to its earnings and growth?
Ford Motor Company trades at a P/E ratio of 11.45, which is below the market average of approximately 20. This lower valuation could indicate the market has modest growth expectations, or it might represent an undervalued opportunity if the fundamentals are strong. Looking ahead, the forward P/E of 9.60 is lower than the current P/E, indicating analysts expect earnings to grow over the next year. The PEG ratio of 16.00 indicates a premium valuation even accounting for growth.
What is F's risk profile compared to the market?
With a beta of 1.61, Ford Motor Company is significantly more volatile than the market. For every 10% market move, this stock tends to move 16% in the same direction. Higher beta stocks offer greater potential returns but with increased risk. The price-to-book ratio of 1.15 shows investors value the company above its book value, which often reflects intangible assets or growth prospects.

Performance & Growth

Profit Margin

2.48%

Operating Margin

3.15%

EBITDA

$9.71B

Return on Equity

10.30%

Return on Assets

0.83%

Revenue Growth (YoY)

9.40%

Earnings Growth (YoY)

172.70%

How profitable and efficient is F's business model?
Ford Motor Company achieves a profit margin of 2.48%, meaning it retains $2.48 from every $100 in revenue after all expenses. This relatively low margin suggests the company operates in a competitive environment or high-cost industry where profitability is challenging. The operating margin of 3.15% reveals how efficiently the company runs its core business operations before interest and taxes. With ROE at 10.30% and ROA at 0.83%, the company achieves moderate returns on invested capital.
What are F's recent growth trends?
Ford Motor Company's revenue grew by 9.40% year-over-year, showing steady progress in growing the business. This positive trajectory indicates the company maintains competitive positioning in its markets. Earnings increased by 172.70% year-over-year, outpacing revenue growth through improved margins. These growth metrics should be evaluated against AUTO MANUFACTURERS industry averages for proper context.

Dividend Information

Dividend Per Share

$0.60

Dividend Yield

4.47%

Ex-Dividend Date

Nov 7, 2025

Dividend Date

Dec 1, 2025

What dividend income can investors expect from F?
Ford Motor Company offers a dividend yield of 4.47%, paying $0.60 per share annually. This high yield exceeds 4%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 average of 1.5-2% and most investment-grade bonds. For income-focused investors, this represents an attractive cash flow opportunity, though high yields sometimes signal market concerns about sustainability. To receive the next dividend, shares must be purchased before the ex-dividend date of Nov 7, 2025.
How reliable is F's dividend for long-term investors?
The dividend sustainability can be assessed through the payout ratio - Ford Motor Company pays $0.60 per share in dividends against earnings of $1.19 per share, resulting in a payout ratio of 50.42%. This balanced payout between 30-60% suggests a sustainable dividend policy that allows both shareholder returns and business reinvestment. The dividend appears well-covered by earnings. The next dividend payment is scheduled for Dec 1, 2025.

Company Size & Market

Market Cap

$54.3B

Revenue (TTM)

$189.59B

Revenue/Share (TTM)

$47.69

Shares Outstanding

3.91B

Book Value/Share

$11.89

Asset Type

Common Stock

What is F's market capitalization and position?
Ford Motor Company has a market capitalization of $54.3B, classifying it as a large-cap stock ($10B-$200B). Large-caps are typically industry leaders with established business models, offering a balance of stability and growth potential. They often provide dividend income and are core holdings in institutional portfolios. With 3.91B shares outstanding, the company's ownership is widely distributed. As a participant in the AUTO MANUFACTURERS industry, it competes with other firms in this sector.
How does F's price compare to its book value?
Ford Motor Company's book value per share is $11.89, while the current stock price is $13.65, resulting in a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.15. This reasonable premium to book value suggests the market values the company's earnings power and intangible assets appropriately. Most profitable companies trade between 1-3x book value. As a common stock, this represents equity ownership with voting rights.

Analyst Ratings

Analyst Target Price

$12.92

5.35% downside potential

Analyst Recommendations

Strong Buy

2

Buy

2

Hold

16

Sell

2

Strong Sell

0

How reliable are analyst predictions for F?
22 analysts cover F with 18% recommending buy/strong buy ratings. Analyst predictions have mixed reliability - studies show consensus rarely beats market returns consistently. The bearish sentiment could create opportunity if analysts are wrong. The consensus target of $12.92 implies -5.3% downside, but targets are often adjusted to follow price moves rather than predict them.
What is the Wall Street consensus on F?
Current analyst recommendations:2 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, 16 Hold, 2 Sell, 0The neutral stance suggests uncertainty or fair valuation at current levels.Remember that analyst opinions often lag price movements and can be influenced by investment banking relationships.

Fundamentals last updated: Dec 13, 2025, 08:26 AM

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Ford Motor Company (F) Stock Analysis 2025: Complete Investment Guide

America's Truck Company

Ford Motor Company traces its lineage to Henry Ford's 1903 founding and the Model T that democratized automobiles. CEO Jim Farley, a 40-year auto industry veteran who took the helm in 2020, recognized that Ford's sprawling operations obscured the jewels within. His 'Ford+' reorganization in 2022 created three distinct business units: Ford Blue for traditional internal combustion vehicles, Model e for electric vehicles, and Ford Pro for commercial customers. This structure revealed what investors suspected—F-Series trucks and Ford Pro commercial vehicles generate virtually all profits while passenger cars and EVs consume capital.

The F-Series franchise represents Ford's competitive moat. F-150 and Super Duty trucks command 40%+ of the full-size pickup market, delivering $10B+ annual EBIT at margins exceeding most luxury automakers. Customers exhibit brand loyalty spanning generations, with Ford building trucks in America since 1948. CEO Jim Farley protects this franchise through continuous innovation: F-150 Lightning electrification, PowerBoost hybrid, and Pro Power Onboard generator features that contractors and consumers value. The franchise faces threats from GM's revitalized Sierra/Silverado and Ram's aggressive incentives, but Ford's manufacturing scale and dealer network create durable advantages.

Business Model & Competitive Position

Ford generates revenue through wholesale vehicle sales to dealers, Ford Credit financing operations, and increasingly through software/services subscriptions in Ford Pro. The traditional model—design vehicles, manufacture at scale, sell through dealers—remains dominant but evolving. Ford Pro transforms commercial relationships from one-time vehicle sales to ongoing software subscriptions (Ford Pro Intelligence) generating recurring revenue. Ford Credit provides floor plan financing to dealers and retail/lease financing to customers, earning spreads while deepening customer relationships.

Competitive advantages center on truck/commercial strength and manufacturing heritage. Ford's Rouge Complex and Kentucky Truck Plant represent decades of manufacturing optimization that newcomers cannot replicate quickly. The 3,000+ US dealer network provides service coverage and customer reach that direct-to-consumer EV makers lack. Ford Pro's commercial relationships span municipal fleets, utilities, contractors, and delivery companies with specific vehicle needs that consumer-focused competitors ignore. However, Ford's advantages face erosion from Tesla's Cybertruck hype, Chinese EV makers' cost advantages, and legacy cost structures that burden profitability.

Financial Performance

  • •Revenue: $175B annually across 4M+ vehicle sales, Ford Credit, and mobility services
  • •Segment EBIT: Ford Blue $7B+, Ford Pro $8B+, Model e ($5B) loss—illustrating profit concentration
  • •Margins: Company-wide 5-6% EBIT margin masked by Model e losses; Blue+Pro approach 10%+
  • •Cash Position: $25B+ liquidity providing cushion for EV investments and economic downturns
  • •Dividend: $0.60/share annually (5%+ yield) with special dividends when cash permits
  • •Valuation: 6x forward P/E reflecting skepticism on EV transition and legacy cost structure

Growth Catalysts

  • •Ford Pro Expansion: Software subscriptions, fleet management, and commercial EVs targeting $20B revenue by 2026
  • •Hybrid Leadership: Hybrid sales growing 40%+ as customers prefer middle ground; higher margins than EVs
  • •Super Duty Refresh: New Super Duty launch driving mix toward higher-margin heavy-duty trucks
  • •Cost Reduction: $2B+ savings target through material costs, manufacturing efficiency, and warranty improvements
  • •International Recovery: Europe and China restructuring reducing losses; focus on profitable markets

Risks & Challenges

  • •Model e Losses: $5B+ annual EV losses unsustainable; success depends on cost reduction and demand growth
  • •UAW Cost Pressure: 2023 contract adds $8B+ through 2028; wage competitiveness versus non-union plants eroding
  • •Chinese Competition: BYD, NIO, and others threatening global markets with cost advantages Ford cannot match
  • •Warranty Costs: Quality issues driving $5B+ annual warranty expense damaging profitability and reputation
  • •EV Demand Uncertainty: Consumer EV adoption slower than projected; charging infrastructure inadequate

Competitive Landscape

General Motors remains Ford's primary competitor in trucks and commercial vehicles, with Silverado/Sierra competing directly against F-Series and GM's BrightDrop threatening Ford Pro's electric delivery vehicle ambitions. Stellantis (Ram, Jeep) offers aggressive truck incentives while leveraging global scale. Tesla disrupted the industry but Cybertruck's unconventional design and production challenges limit near-term threat to traditional truck buyers. Rivian targets the adventure/premium segment but faces scaling difficulties. Chinese manufacturers including BYD threaten international markets and could eventually challenge North America.

Ford's competitive positioning varies dramatically by segment. In full-size trucks, Ford dominates with 40%+ market share and generational brand loyalty that creates pricing power. In EVs, Ford competes from disadvantage—Mustang Mach-E faces Model Y, F-150 Lightning competes with Cybertruck hype, and Model e loses money on every vehicle sold. CEO Jim Farley's strategic pivot toward hybrids and commercial EVs (where Ford Pro relationships matter) represents pragmatic acknowledgment that competing with Tesla/Chinese cost structures in consumer EVs may not be viable.

Who Is This Stock Suitable For?

Perfect For

  • ✓Value investors seeking industrial exposure at 6x forward P/E
  • ✓Income seekers attracted to 5%+ dividend yield from blue-chip manufacturer
  • ✓Contrarian buyers betting on EV transition optionality and Ford Pro growth
  • ✓Investors comfortable with cyclical auto industry dynamics

Less Suitable For

  • ✗Growth investors seeking technology-like returns
  • ✗Risk-averse investors uncomfortable with EV losses and UAW costs
  • ✗ESG-focused investors concerned about ICE vehicle emissions exposure
  • ✗Those expecting near-term multiple expansion or catalyst

Investment Thesis

Ford offers deep value at 6x forward earnings with substantial assets obscured by EV losses and market skepticism. F-Series trucks generate $10B+ annual EBIT that alone supports the current market cap. Ford Pro's commercial transformation creates software-like recurring revenue potential in an overlooked segment. The 5%+ dividend yield pays investors to wait for EV losses to narrow and hybrid strategy to prove out. CEO Jim Farley's willingness to slow EV spending and prioritize profitability signals pragmatic capital allocation.

However, Ford's challenges are structural, not cyclical. The UAW contract adds $8B+ in costs through 2028 versus non-union competitors. Warranty expenses reflect quality problems requiring years to resolve. Chinese EV makers possess cost advantages that Ford cannot match even with aggressive restructuring. The stock remains cheap because these issues lack obvious solutions. For patient value investors with 3-5 year horizons, Ford offers asymmetric returns if EV rationalization succeeds and truck profits persist. Near-term traders should expect continued volatility around EV news flow and economic indicators.

Conclusion

Ford is a SPECULATIVE BUY for value-oriented investors with patience and risk tolerance. The 6x forward P/E prices in significant pessimism, creating upside if truck profits persist and EV losses narrow. The 5%+ dividend yield provides income while waiting, though sustainability depends on FCF generation. Avoid if uncomfortable with auto cyclicality, UAW costs, or multi-year turnaround timeframe. Position size appropriately for a higher-volatility holding.
Bull Case
$18 (35% upside) - EV losses narrow, truck profits persist, Ford Pro software scales
Base Case
$14 (5% upside) - Muddle-through scenario, EV losses continue, trucks sustain profits
Bear Case
$9 (30% downside) - Recession impacts trucks, EV competition intensifies, dividend cut

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