Vistra (VST) - 29.45% Below 52-Week High: Buy or Wait?

Stock Details

Vistra Corp. (VST), a prominent company in the utilities sector within the utilities - independent power producers industry, is based in United States and primarily trades on the NYQ.Currently, the stock is trading at $138.85. Over the past 52 weeks, it has ranged between $132.66 and $196.80. This places the current price at 70.6% of its 52-week high and 4.7% above its 52-week low. Recent trading volume was recorded at 5,276,677. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 42.03, suggesting neutral conditions. The stock is currently trading below its 50-day moving average of $145.09 by 4.30%. Similarly, it is below its 200-day moving average of $153.60 by 9.60%. The MACD histogram is -1.74, indicating bearish momentum (MACD Line: -1.56, Signal Line: 0.17).

Fundamentals

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio (TTM)

23.33

Near market average

Forward P/E

13.37

Earnings expected to grow

PEG Ratio

0.40

Potentially undervalued

Price to Book

15.47

EV/EBITDA

10.38

EPS (TTM)

$5.93

Price to Sales

2.42

Beta

1.38

Similar volatility to market

Q:How is VST valued relative to its earnings and growth?

Vistra Corp. trades at a P/E ratio of 23.33, which is near the market average of approximately 20, suggesting the market views it as fairly valued relative to its earnings. Looking ahead, the forward P/E of 13.37 is lower than the current P/E, indicating analysts expect earnings to grow over the next year. The PEG ratio of 0.40 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth rate.

Q:What is VST's risk profile compared to the market?

With a beta of 1.38, Vistra Corp. is roughly as volatile as the market, moving in line with broad market trends. This moderate beta suggests the stock offers market-level returns without excessive volatility. The price-to-book ratio of 15.47 shows investors value the company above its book value, which often reflects intangible assets or growth prospects.

Performance & Growth

Profit Margin

11.55%

Operating Margin

13.77%

EBITDA

$6.65B

Return on Equity

42.96%

Return on Assets

5.89%

Revenue Growth (YoY)

-5.50%

Earnings Growth (YoY)

-6.20%

Q:How profitable and efficient is VST's business model?

Vistra Corp. achieves a profit margin of 11.55%, meaning it retains $11.55 from every $100 in revenue after all expenses. This represents a solid margin typical of well-run businesses, showing the company can effectively balance revenue generation with cost control. The operating margin of 13.77% reveals how efficiently the company runs its core business operations before interest and taxes. With ROE at 42.96% and ROA at 5.89%, the company generates strong returns on invested capital.

Q:What are VST's recent growth trends?

Vistra Corp.'s revenue declined by 5.50% year-over-year, indicating challenges in maintaining sales momentum. This contraction may reflect market headwinds, competitive pressures, or strategic transitions. Earnings decreased by 6.20% year-over-year, reflecting the bottom-line impact of business performance. These growth metrics should be evaluated against Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry averages for proper context.

Dividend Information

Dividend Per Share

$0.92

Dividend Yield

0.65%

Ex-Dividend Date

Sep 21, 2026

Dividend Date

Sep 30, 2026

Q:What dividend income can investors expect from VST?

Vistra Corp. offers a dividend yield of 0.65%, paying $0.92 per share annually. This modest yield below 2% suggests the company prioritizes growth investments over current income. While the dividend provides some return, investors are likely attracted more by capital appreciation potential than income generation. To receive the next dividend, shares must be purchased before the ex-dividend date of Sep 21, 2026.

Q:How reliable is VST's dividend for long-term investors?

The dividend sustainability can be assessed through the payout ratio - Vistra Corp. pays $0.92 per share in dividends against earnings of $5.93 per share, resulting in a payout ratio of 15.51%. This conservative payout below 30% indicates excellent dividend safety with substantial room for future increases. The company retains most earnings for growth while still rewarding shareholders. The next dividend payment is scheduled for Sep 30, 2026.

Company Size & Market

Market Cap

$46.4B

Revenue (TTM)

$19.21B

Revenue/Share (TTM)

$56.84

Shares Outstanding

335.64M

Book Value/Share

$8.95

Asset Type

EQUITY

Q:What is VST's market capitalization and position?

Vistra Corp. has a market capitalization of $46.4B, classifying it as a large-cap stock ($10B-$200B). Large-caps are typically industry leaders with established business models, offering a balance of stability and growth potential. They often provide dividend income and are core holdings in institutional portfolios. With 335.64M shares outstanding, the company's ownership is relatively concentrated. As a participant in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, it competes with other firms in this sector.

Q:How does VST's price compare to its book value?

Vistra Corp.'s book value per share is $8.95, while the current stock price is $138.85, resulting in a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 15.52. This high P/B ratio indicates significant intangible assets, strong brand value, or high growth expectations. Technology and consumer brand companies often trade at elevated P/B ratios due to intellectual property and competitive advantages not reflected on the balance sheet. As EQUITY, this represents a specific type of security.

Analyst Ratings

Analyst Target Price

$206.86

48.98% upside potential

Analyst Recommendations

Strong Buy

Buy

Hold

Sell

Strong Sell

Q:How reliable are analyst predictions for VST?

20 analysts cover VST with 95% recommending buy/strong buy ratings. Analyst predictions have mixed reliability - studies show consensus rarely beats market returns consistently. The strong bullish consensus may already be priced in. The consensus target of $206.86 implies 49.0% upside, but targets are often adjusted to follow price moves rather than predict them.

Q:What is the Wall Street consensus on VST?

Current analyst recommendations:4 Strong Buy, 15 Buy, 01 Sell, 0The bullish tilt suggests optimism about future prospects, though investors should conduct independent research.Remember that analyst opinions often lag price movements and can be influenced by investment banking relationships.

Fundamentals last updated: Oct 31, 2026, 02:04 AM

Technical Indicators

RSI (14-day)

42.03

Neutral

50-Day Moving Average

$145.09

-4.30% below MA-50

200-Day Moving Average

$153.60

-9.60% below MA-200

MACD Line

-1.56

MACD Signal

0.17

MACD Histogram

-1.74

Bearish

Q:What does VST's RSI value tell investors?

The RSI (Relative Strength Index) for VST is currently 42.03, indicating the stock is in neutral territory (40-60 range). Neither buyers nor sellers have clear control, suggesting consolidation or balanced market forces. Combined with the price being below the 50-day moving average, this confirms bearish conditions.

Q:How should traders interpret VST's MACD and moving average crossovers?

MACD analysis shows the MACD line at -1.56 below the signal line at 0.17, with histogram at -1.74. This bearish crossover indicates downward pressure. The wide histogram confirms strong momentum. The 50-day MA ($145.09) is below the 200-day MA ($153.60), forming a death cross pattern that often warns of extended weakness. Price is currently below both MAs, confirming weakness.

Indicators last updated: Oct 31, 2026, 12:37 AM

Vistra Corp. (VST) Stock