Vistra Energy (VST) - 28.01% Below 52-Week High: Buy or Wait?

Stock Details

Vistra Energy Corp (VST), a prominent company in the utilities sector within the utilities - independent power producers industry, is based in USA and primarily trades on the NYSE.Currently, the stock is trading at $157.82. Over the past 52 weeks, it has ranged between $102.81 and $219.21. This places the current price at 72.0% of its 52-week high and 53.5% above its 52-week low. Recent trading volume was recorded at 3,905,505. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 41.70, suggesting neutral conditions. The stock is currently trading below its 50-day moving average of $164.12 by 3.84%. Similarly, it is below its 200-day moving average of $178.91 by 11.79%. The MACD histogram is -1.64, indicating bearish momentum (MACD Line: -4.84, Signal Line: -3.20). There is currently 1 active alert set for VST by users.

Fundamentals

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio (TTM)

75.33

Above market average

Forward P/E

17.70

Earnings expected to grow

PEG Ratio

1.41

Reasonably valued

Price to Book

21.11

EV/EBITDA

15.25

EPS (TTM)

$2.17

Price to Sales

3.12

Beta

1.50

Similar volatility to market

Q:How is VST valued relative to its earnings and growth?

Vistra Energy Corp trades at a P/E ratio of 75.33, which is above the market average of approximately 20. This premium valuation suggests investors expect above-average growth or the company has competitive advantages justifying the higher multiple. Looking ahead, the forward P/E of 17.70 is lower than the current P/E, indicating analysts expect earnings to grow over the next year. The PEG ratio of 1.41 indicates reasonable value when growth is considered.

Q:What is VST's risk profile compared to the market?

With a beta of 1.50, Vistra Energy Corp is roughly as volatile as the market, moving in line with broad market trends. This moderate beta suggests the stock offers market-level returns without excessive volatility. The price-to-book ratio of 21.11 shows investors value the company above its book value, which often reflects intangible assets or growth prospects.

Performance & Growth

Profit Margin

5.32%

Operating Margin

13.20%

EBITDA

$5.23B

Return on Equity

17.70%

Return on Assets

3.49%

Revenue Growth (YoY)

13.60%

Earnings Growth (YoY)

-52.30%

Q:How profitable and efficient is VST's business model?

Vistra Energy Corp achieves a profit margin of 5.32%, meaning it retains $5.32 from every $100 in revenue after all expenses. This relatively low margin suggests the company operates in a competitive environment or high-cost industry where profitability is challenging. The operating margin of 13.20% reveals how efficiently the company runs its core business operations before interest and taxes. With ROE at 17.70% and ROA at 3.49%, the company generates strong returns on invested capital.

Q:What are VST's recent growth trends?

Vistra Energy Corp's revenue grew by 13.60% year-over-year, showing steady progress in growing the business. This positive trajectory indicates the company maintains competitive positioning in its markets. Earnings decreased by 52.30% year-over-year, reflecting the bottom-line impact of business performance. These growth metrics should be evaluated against UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS industry averages for proper context.

Dividend Information

Dividend Per Share

$0.90

Dividend Yield

0.54%

Ex-Dividend Date

Mar 20, 2026

Dividend Date

Mar 31, 2026

Q:What dividend income can investors expect from VST?

Vistra Energy Corp offers a dividend yield of 0.54%, paying $0.90 per share annually. This modest yield below 2% suggests the company prioritizes growth investments over current income. While the dividend provides some return, investors are likely attracted more by capital appreciation potential than income generation. To receive the next dividend, shares must be purchased before the ex-dividend date of Mar 20, 2026.

Q:How reliable is VST's dividend for long-term investors?

The dividend sustainability can be assessed through the payout ratio - Vistra Energy Corp pays $0.90 per share in dividends against earnings of $2.17 per share, resulting in a payout ratio of 41.57%. This balanced payout between 30-60% suggests a sustainable dividend policy that allows both shareholder returns and business reinvestment. The dividend appears well-covered by earnings. The next dividend payment is scheduled for Mar 31, 2026.

Company Size & Market

Market Cap

$55.3B

Revenue (TTM)

$17.74B

Revenue/Share (TTM)

$52.30

Shares Outstanding

338.55M

Book Value/Share

$7.75

Asset Type

Common Stock

Q:What is VST's market capitalization and position?

Vistra Energy Corp has a market capitalization of $55.3B, classifying it as a large-cap stock ($10B-$200B). Large-caps are typically industry leaders with established business models, offering a balance of stability and growth potential. They often provide dividend income and are core holdings in institutional portfolios. With 338.55M shares outstanding, the company's ownership is relatively concentrated. As a participant in the UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS industry, it competes with other firms in this sector.

Q:How does VST's price compare to its book value?

Vistra Energy Corp's book value per share is $7.75, while the current stock price is $157.82, resulting in a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 20.36. This high P/B ratio indicates significant intangible assets, strong brand value, or high growth expectations. Technology and consumer brand companies often trade at elevated P/B ratios due to intellectual property and competitive advantages not reflected on the balance sheet. As a common stock, this represents equity ownership with voting rights.

Analyst Ratings

Analyst Target Price

$234.26

48.43% upside potential

Analyst Recommendations

Strong Buy

Buy

Hold

Sell

Strong Sell

Q:How reliable are analyst predictions for VST?

20 analysts cover VST with 95% recommending buy/strong buy ratings. Analyst predictions have mixed reliability - studies show consensus rarely beats market returns consistently. The strong bullish consensus may already be priced in. The consensus target of $234.26 implies 48.4% upside, but targets are often adjusted to follow price moves rather than predict them.

Q:What is the Wall Street consensus on VST?

Current analyst recommendations:4 Strong Buy, 15 Buy, 001 Strong Sell. The bullish tilt suggests optimism about future prospects, though investors should conduct independent research.Remember that analyst opinions often lag price movements and can be influenced by investment banking relationships.

Fundamentals last updated: Apr 19, 2026, 02:47 AM

Technical Indicators

RSI (14-day)

41.70

Neutral

50-Day Moving Average

$164.12

-3.84% below MA-50

200-Day Moving Average

$178.91

-11.79% below MA-200

MACD Line

-4.84

MACD Signal

-3.20

MACD Histogram

-1.64

Bearish

Q:What does VST's RSI value tell investors?

The RSI (Relative Strength Index) for VST is currently 41.70, indicating the stock is in neutral territory (40-60 range). Neither buyers nor sellers have clear control, suggesting consolidation or balanced market forces. Combined with the price being below the 50-day moving average, this confirms bearish conditions.

Q:How should traders interpret VST's MACD and moving average crossovers?

MACD analysis shows the MACD line at -4.84 below the signal line at -3.20, with histogram at -1.64. This bearish crossover indicates downward pressure. The wide histogram confirms strong momentum. The 50-day MA ($164.12) is below the 200-day MA ($178.91), forming a death cross pattern that often warns of extended weakness. Price is currently below both MAs, confirming weakness.

Indicators last updated: Feb 9, 2026, 12:38 AM

Condition	Threshold	Created At
Price falls below	$120.00	Feb 5, 2026, 06:25 AM

Condition

Threshold

Created At

Price falls below

$120.00

Feb 5, 2026, 06:25 AM

Vistra Energy Corp (VST) Stock