Skip to main content

MA Breakout Above Alert

Moving Average Breakout Strategy - 50/200 MA Pullback Buying & Trend Resumption

How to Set Up (3 Steps)

  • Step 1: Search for any stock in an uptrend on StockAlert.pro (e.g., META, SHOP, AMD)
  • Step 2: Select "MA Breakout (Bullish)" and choose your MA period (50-day for swing trades, 200-day for position trades)
  • Step 3: Choose notification method (email or SMS) and save

Done! You'll receive automatic alerts when price breaks above your selected MA during pullbacks. No chart watching or emotional buy-the-dip decisions required.

Example: Meta Platforms 50-Day MA - Q4 2023

  • Setup: META rallied from $280 to $350 (Aug-Oct 2023), respecting rising 50-day MA throughout
  • Signal: Price pulled back to $315 with 50MA at $312, volume building on bounce, prior 3 pullbacks held
  • Alert Trigger: Price broke above 50MA with 1.8x volume at $316 - trend resumption confirmed
  • Result: Stock resumed uptrend to $375 (+18%) over next 6 weeks with no pullback below $330
  • Key Insight: Rising MA + volume confirmation + prior successful bounces = high-probability pullback entry

Scenario Guide

ScenarioMA SlopeVolumeExampleAction
Textbook BounceRising >10°>1.5x averageMETA $316 bounce, 1.8x volBuy with 5% stop below MA
Weak RecoveryFlat<1.2x averageLow volume reclaimSkip - 38% success rate
False BreakoutDecliningMixedReclaim then fails next dayDon't buy declining MAs
Gap RecoveryRising>2x averageGaps above MA on newsBuy if gap <3%, else wait
Third TouchRising>1.5x average3rd successful MA defenseHigher conviction - add size

When to Use

  • Stock is in a confirmed uptrend with MA rising (higher today than 20 days ago)
  • You want to buy pullbacks systematically without emotional timing decisions
  • You're building positions through scaling - adding on each successful MA defense

When Not to Use

  • MA is flat or declining (38% success rate - trend is weak or bearish)
  • Volume at breakout is below average (weak demand, likely fails within days)
  • S&P 500 is in bear market (individual MA breakouts fail 55%+ regardless of stock quality)

Conclusion

MA breakout alerts automate pullback buying with precision. When MAs are rising, volume confirms, and pattern is established (2-3 prior bounces), success rate reaches 72%. Only trade rising MAs with volume confirmation.

Community Alerts

50 alerts
BULLpaused
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 6, 2026
OPENactive
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 6, 2026
NIOpaused
Threshold
200 days
Created
Jan 6, 2026
BTOGactive
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 6, 2026
UBERactive
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 6, 2026
TSLAactive
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 6, 2026
NBIStriggered
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 6, 2026
BZUNactive
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 6, 2026
PSTVtriggered
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 6, 2026
FBTCactive
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 6, 2026
TSLAactive
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 6, 2026
TSLAactive
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 6, 2026
KLARactive
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 6, 2026
HIMSpaused
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 6, 2026
HUMAactive
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 6, 2026
IONQactive
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 5, 2026
MSFTtriggered
Threshold
200 days
Created
Jan 5, 2026
MSFTtriggered
Threshold
200 days
Created
Jan 5, 2026
MSFTtriggered
Threshold
200 days
Created
Jan 5, 2026
PMIactive
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 5, 2026
NFLXactive
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 5, 2026
IXHLactive
Threshold
200 days
Created
Jan 5, 2026
COINpaused
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 5, 2026
UNHtriggered
Threshold
200 days
Created
Jan 5, 2026
QUREtriggered
Threshold
200 days
Created
Jan 5, 2026
KOactive
Threshold
200 days
Created
Jan 5, 2026
VRTtriggered
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 5, 2026
MSFTtriggered
Threshold
200 days
Created
Jan 5, 2026
MSFTtriggered
Threshold
200 days
Created
Jan 5, 2026
MSFTactive
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 5, 2026
MSFTtriggered
Threshold
200 days
Created
Jan 5, 2026
AVAVtriggered
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 5, 2026
MSFTtriggered
Threshold
200 days
Created
Jan 5, 2026
BULLactive
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 5, 2026
MSFTtriggered
Threshold
200 days
Created
Jan 5, 2026
UBERactive
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 5, 2026
FBTCactive
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 5, 2026
HOODactive
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 5, 2026
DELLactive
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 4, 2026
BRK-Btriggered
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 2, 2026
METAtriggered
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 2, 2026
APPtriggered
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 2, 2026
TSLAtriggered
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 2, 2026
SHWtriggered
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 2, 2026
TRVItriggered
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 2, 2026
GRUPFactive
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 2, 2026
BRK-Btriggered
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 2, 2026
METAtriggered
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 2, 2026
TSLAtriggered
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 2, 2026
METAtriggered
Threshold
50 days
Created
Jan 2, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

Q:Which MA period (50/200)?
50-day MA for active traders: Faster signals (2-4 per year), tighter stops, shorter holding period (2-8 weeks). 200-day MA for long-term investors: Fewer signals (1-2 per year), more significant trend changes, longer holding period (3-12 months). Combine both: 200MA for trend direction, 50MA for timing. Rule: Only trade 50MA touches when above 200MA (uptrend intact).
Q:What buffer % above MA?
Set alert 0.5-1% above the MA, not exactly at MA. Example: 50MA at $200 = alert at $201-202. Why? (1) Filters intraday noise (brief touches without real significance), (2) Confirms real demand above MA (not just test), (3) Prevents too many false alerts. For volatile stocks: 1-1.5% buffer. For stable stocks: 0.3-0.5% buffer. Never exactly at MA - too many false signals.
Q:Which moving average period should I use for alerts?
50-day MA for swing trading (2-8 week holds), catches 8-15% pullbacks 3-6x per year. 200-day MA for position trading (2-6 months), catches major 15-30% corrections 1-2x per year. Combination: Use 200MA for core position, 50MA for tactical adds. Most active strategy: 50-day for higher frequency.
Q:Do I buy when price touches the MA or when it breaks above?
Wait for the breakout ABOVE the MA with volume confirmation. Touching the MA is not enough - price can slice through and keep falling. Buy when price crosses above MA + volume >1.3x average. This confirms buyers are defending the level, not just technical bounce.
Q:How do I know if a moving average is rising or declining?
Compare MA value today vs 20 trading days ago. Rising: Today > 20 days ago. Flat: Within ±1% difference. Declining: Today < 20 days ago. Visual check: Draw line from MA value 20 days ago to today - line should slope upward (rising). Only trade rising MAs (67% success vs 38% for declining).
Q:What volume level confirms a real MA breakout?
Minimum 1.3x average volume for 50-day MA breakouts. For 200-day MA (bigger deal), require 1.8x+ volume. Volume shows institutional participation vs just algorithmic/technical triggers. MA breakout + volume >1.8x = 78% success rate. Without volume (<1.2x) = 48% coin flip.
Q:How many times can I trade the same MA before it fails?
MAs work BETTER after 2-3 successful bounces (confidence builds). Sweet spot: 2-4 touches total. After 5-6 touches, fatigue sets in (support can't hold forever). Example: META 50MA held 4x in H2 2023 before finally breaking. If MA fails (closes below for 2+ days), skip next 1-2 attempts - pattern broken.
Q:Should I use SMA or EMA for MA breakout alerts?
SMA (Simple Moving Average) is standard and slightly more reliable for breakout alerts. EMA (Exponential) weighs recent days more, generates 15-20% more signals but with 4-6% lower success rate (more whipsaws). For systematic breakout buying, stick with SMA 50/200. Save EMA for advanced custom strategies.
Q:What if price gaps above the MA on earnings or news?
Gap through MA compromises the setup - entry point is gone. If gap is <3%, can still enter on pullback within gap. If gap >5%, skip this breakout - wait for next pullback to establish new support. Example: Stock gaps from $48 to $54 over 50MA at $50. Don't chase $54. Wait for consolidation and next 50MA test.
Q:How do I combine MA breakout alerts with golden cross alerts?
Golden cross (50MA crossing above 200MA) confirms long-term trend change. MA breakout (price crossing above 50/200MA) provides tactical entry points within the trend. Combo strategy: Wait for golden cross to establish uptrend, then use 50MA breakout alerts for pullback entries. This layers strategic trend confirmation with tactical timing.
Q:What stop loss should I use after entering on MA breakout?
50-day MA breakouts: Stop 3-5% below the MA. 200-day MA breakouts: Stop 7-10% below the MA (wider for less frequent trades). As position works, trail stop to stay 5% below rising MA. This keeps you in trend while protecting from breakdowns. Exit immediately if MA closes below for 2+ days (pattern failed).
Q:Do MA breakouts work in bear markets or only bull markets?
Success rate plummets in bear markets. When S&P 500 <200MA (bear regime), individual stock MA breakouts fail 55%+. In bull markets (S&P >200MA), success rate is 67-75% with proper filters. Check macro regime before trusting micro signals. Bear market = skip MA breakouts, focus on shorts/cash.
Q:What if the MA is rising but the stock is still in a downtrend?
Rare but happens during early trend change. Check: (1) Is price making higher highs/higher lows? (2) Has 50MA crossed above 200MA (golden cross)? (3) Is 200MA starting to turn up? If yes to 2+, early uptrend forming - MA breakouts start working. If no, just noise - MA rising but downtrend intact, skip.
Q:How many MA breakout alerts should I expect per stock per year?
Healthy uptrend: 3-6 pullbacks to 50MA per year (every 2-3 months). Major corrections to 200MA: 1-2x per year max. If getting 10+ signals per year from same MA, something wrong - likely flat/sideways market generating whipsaws. Quality over quantity - the best setups are spaced months apart.

Related Alert Types

Ready to stay on top of market movements?

Set up your first MA Breakout (Bullish) alert today.

Get Started