Q:Fixed 30/70 vs. regime-basiert?
Fixed 30/70 funktioniert in Range-Märkten (60% Erfolgsrate). Regime-basiert ist besser: Bullenmärkte: RSI 40/80 (30 zu niedrig, starke Aktien selten so tief). Bärenmärkte: RSI 20/60 (70 zu hoch, schwache Aktien erreichen nie Overbought). Seitwärts: RSI 30/70 (klassisch). Adaptiv ist 15-20% erfolgreicher aber komplexer. Start mit 30/70, wechsel zu Regime wenn 200MA steigt (40/80) oder fällt (20/60).
Q:RSI(2) vs RSI(14)?
RSI(14) = Standard für Swing Trading (mehrere Wochen Haltedauer), glattere Signale, weniger False Positives. RSI(2) = Kurzfristig für Day/Swing Trading (Tage-Wochen), extrem empfindlich, mehr Signale aber auch mehr Noise. Empfehlung: RSI(14) für Positionsaufbau + RSI(2) für präzises Timing. Kombi-Regel: RSI(14) <30 + RSI(2) <10 = hohe Wahrscheinlichkeit für Rebound in 1-3 Tagen. RSI(14) Haupt-Filter, RSI(2) für Entry-Timing.
Q:What RSI period should I use - 14, 7, or 2?
RSI(14) is standard for swing trading (hold 1-4 weeks). RSI(7) for active trading (hold 3-10 days). RSI(2) for day trading (hold 1-3 days). Shorter periods = more signals but more noise. Start with 14 and only shorten if you can commit to active monitoring.
Q:Why does RSI 30 keep failing in my trades?
You're in a bear market or strong downtrend. RSI 30 works in sideways markets. In downtrends, use RSI 20 as oversold threshold. Better yet: don't buy oversold signals against the trend. Wait for trend reversal confirmation (price above 50-day MA) first.
Q:Should I buy immediately when RSI hits 30 or wait for confirmation?
Wait for confirmation. RSI 30 is a screening alert, not an entry signal. Confirm with: (1) volume spike, (2) price holding prior support, (3) bullish divergence if available. Immediate buying at RSI 30 has ~45% win rate. With confirmation, it jumps to ~65%.
Q:What are the best RSI thresholds for bull vs bear markets?
Bull markets: 40-50 oversold, 70-80 overbought (trend continuation bias). Bear markets: 20-30 oversold, 60-70 overbought (avoid falling knives). Sideways markets: Classic 30 oversold, 70 overbought (mean reversion). Check 50-day MA slope to identify regime.
Q:How reliable are RSI divergences compared to threshold crosses?
Divergences win 15-20% more often. Bullish divergence (lower price low, higher RSI low) succeeds ~65% of time. Bearish divergence (higher price high, lower RSI high) succeeds ~60% of time. Regular threshold crosses: 50-55%. Always confirm divergences with price structure breaks before trading.
Q:Can RSI predict earnings moves or should I avoid using it around earnings?
RSI cannot predict earnings surprises - avoid relying on it within 2 days of earnings. However, RSI is excellent AFTER earnings: RSI 25 after earnings washout = strong buy signal (capitulation). RSI 75 after earnings beat = momentum continuation. Combine RSI with earnings alerts for best results.
Q:What's the difference between RSI(14) and RSI(2) strategies?
RSI(14): Swing trading, hold 1-4 weeks, thresholds 30/70, works in all regimes with adjustment. RSI(2): Day trading, hold 1-3 days, extreme thresholds 5/95, ONLY works in strong uptrends. RSI(2) fails catastrophically in bear markets (gives 10+ false buy signals as stock collapses). Use RSI(2) only in confirmed bull phases.
Q:How do I know if I'm in a sideways, bull, or bear regime?
50-day MA slope: Flat = sideways (use 30/70). Up >10° = bull (use 40/80). Down >10° = bear (use 20/60). Additional check: In bull regimes, RSI rarely drops below 40. In bear regimes, RSI rarely rises above 60. If RSI oscillates 30-70 frequently, you're sideways.
Q:Should I combine RSI with other indicators or use it standalone?
Always combine. RSI alone: ~51% win rate. RSI + volume confirmation: ~62% win rate. RSI + volume + price structure (support/resistance): ~68% win rate. Best combinations: RSI + moving averages (trend), RSI + volume (conviction), RSI + support/resistance (entry timing).
Q:What stop-loss strategy works best with RSI signals?
Use 2x ATR (Average True Range) below entry for RSI buy signals. Example: Enter at $50 with ATR = $2, stop at $46. This accounts for normal volatility. Tighter stops (1 ATR) get stopped out 60% of time before move develops. Wider stops (3 ATR) reduce win rate by giving losers too much room.
Q:How long can RSI stay overbought (>70) in a bull market?
Weeks to months. Shopify (SHOP) stayed above RSI 60 for 12 weeks in 2023 (+88% move). Palantir (PLTR) held RSI >50 for 8 weeks in late 2023 (+68%). This is why 70 overbought doesn't work in bull markets - you exit way too early. In bull regimes, only exit when RSI drops below 50 or price breaks 20-day MA.
Q:Can I use RSI alerts for crypto trading or is it only for stocks?
RSI works for crypto but requires different settings. Crypto has extreme trends, so use: RSI(7-10) instead of 14, thresholds 20-30/70-85 instead of 30/70, and expect RSI to stay extreme longer. Bitcoin (BTC) can stay RSI >80 for months in bull runs. Crypto RSI is best used for divergence detection, not threshold crosses.